Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has made an impressive 41.9% of his three-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 33.0 rate last season.
Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% more than he's made in all games this season at home.
Larry Nance Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance across the board.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's subpar 107.2 points per game ranks 10th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 9th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

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