Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 28, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has converted a whopping 41.9% of his three-pointers this year, a sizeable increase from his 33.0 rate last year.
Larry Nance Jr. has played 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The Pelicans will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing at home.

Favors Under

The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

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