Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 77.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 56.3% higher than he's made in all games this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. stands to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pelicans.

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