Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 71.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
Among all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. registers in the 22nd percentile for foul-shot efficiency with a a subpar 66.2% rate this year.

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