Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 8, 2024

Updated Mar 9, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 65.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's made in all games this year.
Larry Nance Jr. has made a whopping 41.7% of his 3-pointers this year, a sizeable increase from his 33.0 mark last year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league as the away team this year has been the Pelicans.
The 5th-most lethargic pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
Larry Nance Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lower player production for all stats.

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