Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. slots into the 92nd percentile for scoring effectiveness with a an impressive 59.6% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. rates in the 88th percentile for three-point prowess with a a very good 41.7% rate this year.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league over the last 20 games (34.4%).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league while playing away from home this year has been the Pelicans.
The 5th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Raptors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats due to being on the road in this contest.

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