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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 57.5% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. registers in the 88th percentile for three-point performance with a a terrific 41.7% rate this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
  • The Pacers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
  • As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Pelicans.
  • This matchup is a strong one for field goals; opposing squads have shot for the highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (50.6%).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home.
  • This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 25.8 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

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