Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. rates in the 88th percentile for field goal efficiency with a a phenomenal 57.2% rate this year.
Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 43.2% of his 3-point shots this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive boards per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Knicks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 17.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league away from home this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pelicans.
Larry Nance Jr. is expected to see a decline in performance across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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