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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 64.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile for 3-point effectiveness when playing away from home with a a phenomenal 47.0% rate this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.

This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted a lowly 18.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games (4th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Larry Nance Jr. has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.

This matchup is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Memphis Grizzlies are at home, opposing squads have put up the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (39.7%).

The 5th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 10thworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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