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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 65.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 14.4% more than he's converted from three in all games this year.

This matchup is a challenging one; when the Houston Rockets are at home, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing squads this year (109.2).

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

The Pelicans have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (lengthening possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).

This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a massive 26.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games (most in the league).

Larry Nance Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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