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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has made 70.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 64.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 17.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

Relative to last year's 2.1 clip, Larry Nance Jr.'s personal fouls per game have decreased this year to 1.2.

The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, the other team has collected 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year in terms of treys.

This year, opposing clubs have shot 39.5% on three-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, branding this as a strong matchup.

The most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

Over the last 20 games when they are at home, opposing teams have attempted 22.7 foul shots per game (9th-most in the league) against the Hornets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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