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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has converted 100.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 40.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road.
  • The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to opposing squads this year (111.0).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.
  • Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have collected 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
  • Among all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. rates in the 13th percentile for foul-shot performance with a a lackluster 60.7% rate this year.

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