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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has made 72.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 7.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on the road.

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 62.5% of his treys over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should raise plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 9thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

This year, opposing teams have collected 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have totaled 44.2 shots made from the field per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, designating this as a positive matchup.

The Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Over the last 25 games, the other team has attempted 24.2 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Kings, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Larry Nance Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production across the board.

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