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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/31/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has made 66.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 14.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Compared to last year's 2.1 clip, Larry Nance Jr.'s personal fouls per game have tailed off this year to 1.3.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Without the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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