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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made a whopping 66.7% of his three-pointers this season, quite a bit higher than his 15.9 rate last season.

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

When playing on the road, the Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 20.8 mark, Larry Nance Jr.'s playing time has regressed this season to 16.5 minutes per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. rates in the 82nd percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.0 fouls per game away from his home court this year.

In terms of scoring, the Pelicans's unimpressive 108.3 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the league this year.

This matchup is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting team, opposing teams have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league against them since the start of last season (38.6).

The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.

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