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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. slots into the 91st percentile for scoring effectiveness while playing away from home with a a very good 59.8% rate since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the other team has shot 46.7% on field goal attempts (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, creating a tough matchup.

The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing at home since the start of last season has been the Pelicans.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).

While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. rates in the 15th percentile for free-throw efficiency while playing away from home with a a feeble 64.5% rate since the start of last season.

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