Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 10:02 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has made 60.0% of his field goal attempts when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 22.6 foul shots per game when the Hawks are at home since the start of last season (8th-least in the NBA).
Larry Nance Jr. will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (saving possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
Larry Nance Jr. has made 63.3% of his free throw attempts while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.

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