Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. measures in the 90th percentile for shooting proficiency without the home court advantage with a a phenomenal 59.2% rate since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Pistons is a challenging one for 3-pointers; their opposition has posted the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (34.6%).
The 10th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
In terms of drawing fouls, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 24.4 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 10th-best in the NBA since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league when playing away from home since the start of last season when it comes to 3-point attempts.
While on the road, the Detroit Pistons have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. lands in the 14th percentile for free-throw efficiency with a an unimpressive 63.3% rate since the start of last season.
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 26.3 free throws per game since the start of last season (most in the NBA).