Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+116/-142).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 50.7% rate, Larry Nance Jr.'s field goal ability has jumped this season to 60.6%.
The Pelicans have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for scoring; their opposition has shot for the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (45.6%).
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted just 21.8 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk a mere 15.9% of his three-pointers this year, significantly less than his 27.9 mark last year.
Compared to last season's 0.0 clip, Larry Nance Jr.'s technical fouls have spiked this season to 0.1 per game.
The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the other team has snagged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).
Larry Nance Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens stat production across the board.

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