Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 13, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This matchup is a hard one for scoring; when the Thunder are on the road, their opposition have shot for the 6th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA against them this year (47.1%).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a positive one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a monstrous 25.5 free throws per game this year (5th-most in the league).

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