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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs New York Knicks

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 69.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.3% more than he's made overall this season.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 9 games at home, 27.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while at home.

The matchup vs. the Knicks may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 21.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Knicks are on the road (6th-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Knicks are the visiting team, opposing squads have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (37.5).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Knicks have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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