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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-104).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has converted 100.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 55.2% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year on his home court.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should boost possessions for the Pelicans.
  • Away from home, the Kings have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 34.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This matchup is a good one for field goals; opposing teams have averaged the 2nd-most buckets per game in the league this year (43.9).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 24.7 free throws per game over the last 20 games (8th-most in the league).

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