Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 65.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has attempted 0.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (82nd percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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