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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 56.4% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Larry Nance Jr. has converted 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a favorable one for 3-pointers; at home, the other team have put up the highest three rate in the NBA this year (31.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).
  • The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 25.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games while on his home court (4th-least in the NBA).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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