Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 56.9% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 34.8% more than he's made overall this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (which can also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (86th percentile).
The Bucks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the least aggressive offense in the league while playing on the road this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
Larry Nance Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production across the board.

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