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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has converted 56.9% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 34.8% more than he's made overall this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (which can also create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (86th percentile).
  • The Bucks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the least aggressive offense in the league while playing on the road this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
  • Larry Nance Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production across the board.

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