Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 39.2% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Larry Nance Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 9 games at home, 27.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this year on his home court.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (which can also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for shots from the field; their opposition have compiled the 9th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (46.9%).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a tough one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 26.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the league).
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

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