Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 22, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made a terrific 39.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, significantly higher than his 30.6 rate last season.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a colossal 18.2 foul shots per game while playing at home this year (most in the league).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 50.0% of his free throws on the road this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league.
Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (87th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for threes; when playing at home, opposing clubs have tallied the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (14.2).
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Heat.