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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has converted a whopping 56.4% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly more than his 50.7 rate last season.
  • Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 9 games at home, 20.7% more than he's sunk overall this year while on his home court.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Heat may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a monstrous 20.7 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have averaged the 8th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.2).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.

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