Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 51.7% of his three-point shots when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
Larry Nance Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 9 games at home, 20.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a good one for field goals; the other team have averaged the 6th-most field goals per game in the league this year (40.1).
Larry Nance Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted just 25.0 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year while at home as it relates to attempts from downtown.

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