Larry Nance Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+112/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 75.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 26.7% higher than he's made from three overall this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have shot 33.6% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. registers in the 23rd percentile for three-point attempts, logging 1.1 per game this year.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).
Larry Nance Jr. stands to see a decline in performance for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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