Larry Nance Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 62.5% of his treys over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should raise plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 9thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
This year, opposing teams have collected 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. comes in at the 20th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, putting up 1.0 per game this year.
The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This matchup is a strong one for three-point shots; the other team has put up the 2nd-highest three rate in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home (39.7%).
The Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Larry Nance Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production across the board.

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