Larry Nance Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The 10th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

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