Larry Nance Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has totaled 3.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's totaled over the course of the year.
Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).
The Pelicans have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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