Larry Nance Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 3.2 assists per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.4 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The Pacers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home.
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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