Larry Nance Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Mavericks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pelicans.
Larry Nance Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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