Landry Shamet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Landry Shamet

NBA · Player Props

Landry Shamet

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Landry Shamet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Landry Shamet has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Heat have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Landry Shamet will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Landry Shamet has tallied 1.0 defensive rebounds per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 16th percentile -- among the league trailers by this metric.
Landry Shamet has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA at home this year.
The Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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