Landry Shamet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Landry Shamet

NBA · Player Props

Landry Shamet

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Landry Shamet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Landry Shamet has successfully made a terrific 42.7% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 36.2 mark last year.
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one; they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (111.4).
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Wizards are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a measly 18.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-least in the league).

Favors Under

Landry Shamet has attempted a mere 3.4 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.6 mark last season.
Compared to last season's 19.8 clip, Landry Shamet's playing time has declined this season to 15.1 minutes per game.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Landry Shamet will likely suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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