Landry Shamet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Landry Shamet

NBA · Player Props

Landry Shamet

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Landry Shamet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Landry Shamet has attempted 4.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 19.5 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Landry Shamet measures in the 11th percentile for scoring ability when playing at home with a a weak 28.3% rate since the start of last season.
This matchup is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged the 7th-most three attempts per game in the NBA against them since the start of last season (36.6).
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Washington Wizards.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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