Landry Shamet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2023

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Landry Shamet

NBA · Player Props

Landry Shamet

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards · Nov 13, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Landry Shamet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have nabbed 8.4 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in more chances for offense).
Out of all players in the league, Landry Shamet lands in the 75th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness without the home court advantage with a a phenomenal 82.7% rate since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 4.6 rate, Landry Shamet's three-point attempts have decreased this year to 4.0 per game.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Toronto Raptors).
The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted an enormous 24.0 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the league).
Landry Shamet will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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