Landry Shamet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Landry Shamet

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 20, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Landry Shamet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; when the Clippers are at home, opposing clubs have tallied the 9th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (87.0).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Landry Shamet has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.5% more than he's made overall this season.
The matchup against the Clippers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 19.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Clippers are on their home court (3rd-least in the league).

Favors Under

Landry Shamet has converted 37.6% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 17th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Suns.
On their home court, the Clippers have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the free throw line away from their home court: 4th-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 20.6 foul shots per game.