Landry Shamet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Landry Shamet

NBA · Player Props

Landry Shamet

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Landry Shamet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Landry Shamet has attempted 11.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Landry Shamet has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Landry Shamet has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Heat have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Landry Shamet has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have put up the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (36.9%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA at home this year.
The Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at drawing fouls on their home court: 9th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 23.4 free throw attempts per game.

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