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LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 23.9 rate, LaMelo Ball's points per game have jumped this season to 31.0.

LaMelo Ball has attempted 12.7 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 9.0 mark last year.

LaMelo Ball has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The 5th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.

The Hornets will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

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