LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Charlotte Hornets have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to three-pointers.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).
The matchup against the Knicks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 18.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).

Favors Under

Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have totaled 36.6 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, resulting in a positive matchup.
The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The Hornets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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