LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2022

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 23, 2022

Updated Dec 23, 2022 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has attempted 11.3 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.6 rate last season.
LaMelo Ball has converted an impressive 4.4 threes per game this year, a significant increase from his 3.0 rate last year.
LaMelo Ball has tallied 32.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year with the home court advantage (45.1%).

Favors Under

LaMelo Ball has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone recently.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Dennis Schroder may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; when guarding opposing starting PGs, they have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season when playing at home (97th percentile).
LaMelo Ball will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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