LaMelo Ball Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has attempted 10.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 31.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 26th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (40.4%).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more plays for the Charlotte Hornets.

Favors Under

LaMelo Ball has tallied 3.7 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA away from home with only 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
LaMelo Ball will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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