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LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball Assists
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets

 
 
 
LaMelo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • LaMelo Ball has compiled 8.2 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 31.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more plays for the Charlotte Hornets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • LaMelo Ball has tallied 3.7 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA away from home with only 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • The Spurs have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • LaMelo Ball will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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