LaMelo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has averaged a terrific 8.6 assists per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.6 assists per game last year.
LaMelo Ball has played 33.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

LaMelo Ball has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
LaMelo Ball will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production across the board.

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