Lamar Stevens Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Lamar Stevens

NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lamar Stevens has tallied 6.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Lamar Stevens has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the league (17th percentile).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has brought down 8.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra chances for offense).
Lamar Stevens stands to see an increase in production in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 17.7 clip, Lamar Stevens's playing time has regressed this year to 9.3 minutes per game.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while at home with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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