Lamar Stevens Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lamar Stevens has made 64.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 8 games at home, 5.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year on his home court.
Lamar Stevens has converted 100.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 20.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
This matchup is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Portland Trail Blazers are the visiting team, opposing squads have compiled the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (33.8%).
The clash with Duop Reath ranks in just the 80th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs converting a whopping 59.6% of their shot attempts from the field this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 17.7 mark, Lamar Stevens's playing time has tailed off this year to 10.3 minutes per game.
Lamar Stevens has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).