Lamar Stevens Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Lamar Stevens

NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lamar Stevens has made 65.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 7 games at home, 6.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Lamar Stevens has converted 66.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
This matchup is a difficult one for threes; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting squad, opposing teams have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (33.7%).
Lamar Stevens has attempted 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Lamar Stevens has averaged just 9.8 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 17.7 minutes per game last season.
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, their opposition has nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

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